Analysis: Bitcoin's short-term trend is expected to be weak, with a higher probability of falling to $45,000 within the year than returning to $100,000.

March 22nd News, according to the prediction market Polymarket's post on X, the probability of Bitcoin falling to $45,000 within the year is now higher than returning to $100,000, with short-term trends expected to be weak. In its platform's prediction "What price will Bitcoin reach in 2026?", the current probability of falling to $45,000 is 47%, while the probability of returning to $100,000 is 38%.